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Milton Friedman on Money, banking, and the gold standard

Official speculation was very different. Its aim was to preserve artificial exchange rates, to postpone the recognition of reality. Had it succeeded, it would have permitted economic distortions to cumulate to still more harmful proportions.

Context. From an April 1973 column written after the international monetary crisis of early 1973, in which the dollar was devalued on February 12, 1973 and the major currencies soon moved to floating exchange rates. “Very different” contrasts official speculation with the private speculation described just before.

Speculation and Speculation
Column, 1973, A column of April 23, 1973, reprinted in the Congressional Record, Senate, February 7, 1978, p. 2590, introduced by Senator William Proxmire among “articles by Professors Friedman, Okun, and Schmidt” under the heading “Letting the Dollar Float” (pp. 2590 to 2591). The reprint names no publication and gives no date; the date is his own, from “Back to the Gaming Table” (1978), which says “I wrote in this space (April 23, 1973)” and quotes this column’s passage on the swap agreements word for word, Congressional Record, February 7, 1978, pp. 2590 to 2591
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Milton Friedman, “Speculation and Speculation” (A column of April 23, 1973, reprinted in the Congressional Record, Senate, February 7, 1978, p. 2590, introduced by Senator William Proxmire among “articles by Professors Friedman, Okun, and Schmidt” under the heading “Letting the Dollar Float” (pp. 2590 to 2591). The reprint names no publication and gives no date; the date is his own, from “Back to the Gaming Table” (1978), which says “I wrote in this space (April 23, 1973)” and quotes this column’s passage on the swap agreements word for word, 1973), Congressional Record, February 7, 1978, pp. 2590 to 2591. https://miltonfriedman.org/quotes/official-speculation-postpone-recognition-of-reality-1973

Quoted for commentary and research. Rights in the underlying work remain with its rights holder, so cite the work itself, not only this page.

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He also said

  1. Private speculation forced governments to face up to reality, to recognize that the exchange rates they were seeking to peg were artificial. It forced Japan and Germany in particular to recognize that their currencies were undervalued.

    Context. From an April 1973 column written after the international monetary crisis of early 1973, in which the dollar was devalued on February 12, 1973 and the major currencies soon moved to floating exchange rates.

    Speculation and Speculation
    Column, 1973, A column of April 23, 1973, reprinted in the Congressional Record, Senate, February 7, 1978, p. 2590, introduced by Senator William Proxmire among “articles by Professors Friedman, Okun, and Schmidt” under the heading “Letting the Dollar Float” (pp. 2590 to 2591). The reprint names no publication and gives no date; the date is his own, from “Back to the Gaming Table” (1978), which says “I wrote in this space (April 23, 1973)” and quotes this column’s passage on the swap agreements word for word, Congressional Record, February 7, 1978, pp. 2590 to 2591
    Checked against the sourceRead the original
  2. The private speculation that the governments deplored was socially useful and had desirable effects. The official speculation in which the governments engaged was socially harmful and had undesirable effects.

    Context. From an April 1973 column written after the international monetary crisis of early 1973, in which the dollar was devalued on February 12, 1973 and the major currencies soon moved to floating exchange rates.

    Speculation and Speculation
    Column, 1973, A column of April 23, 1973, reprinted in the Congressional Record, Senate, February 7, 1978, p. 2590, introduced by Senator William Proxmire among “articles by Professors Friedman, Okun, and Schmidt” under the heading “Letting the Dollar Float” (pp. 2590 to 2591). The reprint names no publication and gives no date; the date is his own, from “Back to the Gaming Table” (1978), which says “I wrote in this space (April 23, 1973)” and quotes this column’s passage on the swap agreements word for word, Congressional Record, February 7, 1978, pp. 2590 to 2591
    Checked against the sourceRead the original
  3. The announced purpose of the official gambling is to keep private speculators from driving the price of the dollar below the level justified by fundamental economic factors—to offset, as the Fed and Treasury would put it, “destabilizing” speculation. How can we judge whether the gamble succeeds? In general, there is a simple test: whether it makes or loses money.

    Context. From a 1978 column written after the Federal Reserve and the Treasury announced in early January 1978 that they would intervene in the foreign-exchange markets to support the falling dollar.

    Back to the Gaming Table
    Column, 1978, A column of early 1978, reprinted in the Congressional Record, Senate, February 7, 1978, p. 2590, introduced by Senator William Proxmire among “articles by Professors Friedman, Okun, and Schmidt” under the heading “Letting the Dollar Float”. The reprint names no publication and gives no issue date; the column refers to writing “in this space” in 1973, which marks it as one of his regular columns, Congressional Record, February 7, 1978, p. 2590
    Checked against the sourceRead the original

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